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Houston! We have an Analysis of the Beginning of Vaccinations in Spain.


We have been vaccinating for about a month and a half with these new generation vaccines and we already have data to verify how the intended immunization is going as well as mortality in the Spanish population. Recall that it was last 27th of December, 2020, when vaccination began in Spain against COVID-19, as can be seen in the Moncloa statement, of which I leave the corresponding link.


To analyze this start of vaccination in Spain, we will use the Contagion and Mortality graph that the digital newspaper El Confidencial has been making (www.elconfidencial.com) since the beginning of the Pandemic, and with which we can get a fairly clear idea of the photo or pre-vaccination moment, assuming as a premise the veracity of the data, not from El Confidencial, but the official ones, of course. 


Let's get to it: 


Pre-vaccination photo:


This is the graph from 14thof March, 2020 to 27th of December, 2020, both for Contagions (in blue) and Deaths (in pink), the latter in reverse (increasing from horizontal down). As we can see in the "1st Wave" the infections were few and the deaths many, and in the "2nd Wave" the infections were many more (probably due to more PCR tests), however the deaths were much lower than in the " 1st Wave ”.




Surely it is better seen in the following graph but with the Waves and their peaks of those indicated, both for Contagions and for Mortality and their trend lines (dashed lines) that are formed between wave peaks:



We can see in the plotted graph that the trend of infections was increasing, but that nevertheless the trend of mortality was decreasing, mortality decreased over time (don't be fooled that the pink mortality graph is at the same time reverse).




Post-vaccination photo:


This is the same graphic of www.elconfidencial.com from 14th of March, 2020 to 08th of February,2020. Here we can already see how vaccination has impacted on these two parameters (Contagions and Deaths).



Comparing the previous Chart of Contagions to place us on this date on 27th of December, 2020, the start date of the vaccination, both Contagions and Deaths have increased and that a “3rd Wave” has occurred. To see it better, we will draw the most relevant points and trend lines as we did in the previous graph:




Comparing these 2 graphs through the following Comparison we can observe several things:


- Regarding the Data:


- Comparing the data of a graph at one date and another, we verify that the latest data offered is reviewed a posteriori, which we assume is normal because not all deaths are communicated in real time, much less will they reach you to this digital newspaper. It must also be taken into account that this data is a weekly average, hence the mortality of the first graph as of December 27, 2020 is much lower than that which appears on that date in the graph February 10, 2021. Although we think the difference is important, we understand this is because the final total data takes a few days to communicate, so we consider the data good for analysis.


-In the same way we can understand that the latest data for February 2021, which seem to reduce the "3rd Wave" are not yet complete, so the "3rd Wave" may not be ending yet, but is in the process of formation.



- Regarding the Incidence of the Vaccination Campaign:


1) Since the start of the vaccination campaign on 27th of December,2020, a 3rd “Wave” has occurred, or is occurring, of both Contagions (in blue) and Deaths (in pink).


2) This "3rd Wave" is greater in Contagions than the "2nd Wave", following its increasing trend since the beginning of the Pandemic, even exceeding it. This is probably happening because more PCRs are being done and vaccinated people are testing positive in many cases.


3) This "3rd Wave" is higher in Deaths than the "2nd Wave", but in this case and what seems more serious and worrying to us, the decreasing trend that had been leading since the beginning of the Pandemic has been broken.


4) The data indicate that something is wrong with this vaccination campaign, and perhaps we are altering the natural process of herd immunity, in force until recently when the WHO decided that it no longer existed, and that the only possibility of having this Immunity is through vaccination, as it appears in this article by AIER (American Institute for Economic Research) in English and its translation into Spanish:



We don't know what it looks like to you, but with the data in hand, it gives us the impression that someone is playing God and deciding on people's lives. If something does not go well, rectifying is wise, please do not be afraid to rectify if it saves lives.


We are surprised that this is not said openly in the media. The politicians don't seem to want to see it either. To what level of deaths will we have to reach for the vaccination to stop if it continues like this? Maybe when we get to the first wave mortality figures? Or not so?


From this humble Blog we call on the Constitutionally competent Judicial Authority to step forward to review the origin and reliability of the current Health Protocols as a whole and of the vaccination Campaigns in particular, which to date are producing the opposite what to expect.


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