Check Table

IS IN

Check Table

In this table I summarize for each country the final data of the "Study of the Count and Estimation of Deaths in 2020 by countries - Long-Term Perspective", its results, let us remember, in both conditions (normal or pandemic), which finally referred to them as hypothesis of (Lower or Upper Rank respectively).


Currently we already have official data from most countries regarding total mortality for the year 2020 so we can compare how the estimate was.


Of the 17 countries analyzed:


  • We have hit the exposed Ranges in 7 countries: Spain, Italy, Norway, Finland, Chile, Japan and Australia.


  • We have very close (to a ± 1% margin) in 4 countries: Germany, United Kingdom, France and Portugal.


  • We have not hit the Ranges or with the ± 1% margin in 6 countries: Sweden, Lithuania, the United States, Russia, Mexico and Canada.
  • 


Comment that we have been especially surprised that in the countries where we have not been correct, the situation was that the reliability of the data was high, that is, they gave a sufficient amount of data to be able to assume that the last or last months of the year would be more predictable, in the Ranges of the Study.


We are left with the feeling that something has triggered mortality in some countries in the last months of 2020.



Share by: